Independent Market Access and Reimbursement Risk Assessment.

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Upadacitinib / rinvoq for treating moderately to severely active Crohn's disease

As of June 2023, MARA’s assessment finds Upadacitinib’s reimbursement risk concentrated in safety and adverse effects, with cost effectiveness a strength; the current MARA Rating and full rationale are available in the report.

The assessment also weighs patient population and subgroups: how closely the trial population matches the patients who would receive the drug in practice; payers often restrict funding to the groups where the evidence is strongest. The strength recorded in cost effectiveness carries weight because that domain asks whether the price asked stands in a defensible relationship to the benefit delivered — the core of most European reimbursement decisions.

Gastroenterology

This rating sits within MARA’s Gastroenterology coverage, alongside 9 other independently assessed treatments in the same area.

What payers will ask

Is the clinical benefit the kind payers reward? — Clinical effectiveness

The clinical trial evidence shows that upadacitinib significantly increases the likelihood of disease remission compared to placebo, with statistically significant improvements in clinical remission and endoscopic response in the biological failure population. The indirect comparisons via network meta-analyses suggest that upadacitinib has similar efficacy to ustekinumab and vedolizumab, which supports its clinical effectiveness.

Does the economic case hold at the expected price? — Cost effectiveness

The cost comparison indicates that upadacitinib has a similar or lower cost than existing treatments like ustekinumab and vedolizumab, which supports its cost-effectiveness. The committee concluded that the overall health benefits are comparable, justifying its recommendation.

Is there quality-of-life evidence payers weigh? — Quality of life

While specific HRQoL data is not detailed in the document, the overall improvement in clinical outcomes and the acknowledgment of the profound impact of Crohn’s disease on patients’ lives suggest that upadacitinib likely provides moderate improvements in quality of life, particularly for those who have not responded to other treatments.

Does the safety profile hold up for payers? — Safety and Adverse Effects

The safety analysis indicates that serious adverse events are comparable between upadacitinib and its comparators, with low discontinuation rates due to adverse events. This suggests an acceptable safety profile, although some concerns regarding specific populations were noted.

Was the drug compared against what payers expect? — Comparator Selection

The document discusses appropriate comparators, including ustekinumab and vedolizumab, which are standard treatments for Crohn’s disease. The committee’s conclusion that these are relevant comparators supports the robustness of the evidence.

Is the population defined the way payers need it? — Patient Population and Subgroups

The trials included a relevant patient population, particularly those with biological failure, which aligns with the intended use of upadacitinib. However, there are some limitations in subgroup analyses that could affect generalizability.

Does the drug fit how care is delivered and paid for? — Care Pathway Integration

Upadacitinib is an oral treatment, which is a significant advantage over other therapies that may require injections. This suggests a minor adjustment in care pathways, making integration manageable.

Are the wider system costs understood? — Resource Use and Cost Implications

The document indicates that the budget impact of upadacitinib is manageable and aligns with planning, given its similar or lower costs compared to existing treatments. This suggests a justifiable resource use.

Would the evidence survive payer scrutiny? — Evidence Quality and Robustness

The evidence is based on multiple clinical trials and network meta-analyses, which provide a strong foundation. However, some limitations in the data and the reliance on indirect comparisons introduce some concerns.

How exposed is the case to uncertainty? — Uncertainty, Sensitivity, and Broader Impacts

While there are some uncertainties regarding the long-term outcomes and specific population risks, the overall context of unmet need and the potential benefits of additional treatment options mitigate these concerns.

Be alerted when this rating changes:

Sample two-page MARA Rating report for the fictional drug Samplinib: the rating with its decision record, and the ten graded payer questions with the reasoning behind each
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